Original post from Wired –
By Rhett Allain, 10.25.2019
How much land will the #TeamTrees plan require? A science prof roughs it to assess the feasibility.
There’s a lot of power in a rough estimate. If you’re trying to figure out whether something is worth doing, you could really go deep into the weeds trying to capture all the costs and benefits. But here’s the thing: Usually you don’t need an exact answer in order to make the right decision.
For example, say you’re having a big party, a hundred people, and you want to make special decorated cupcakes. You do some quick, cocktail-napkin calculations and you guesstimate it would take 10 hours. Well, in reality it might be 9 hours, or it might be 11 hours—it doesn’t matter! It’s way too long.
That’s what I did in a recent post. I had wondered, if everyone on earth planted a tree—all 7.5 billion of us—how much carbon dioxide would it pull out of the air? My answer, based on some very rough assumptions, was that it could cut atmospheric CO2 levels by around 6 percent.
Some people disagreed with my result, and that’s fine. I’m sure it’s wrong. (For one thing, I modeled the carbon content of trees without branches.) But as a first cut, it tells us what we want to know: Planting trees can make a difference, even if it’s not in itself a solution to climate change. Besides, trees are beautiful.
Of course 7.5 billion was a fanciful number. And planting that many trees has its own complications, such as where the land is and how it was used before. But what about 20 million? Yes, we can do that, and for carbon reduction, every contribution matters. That’s the aim of the #TeamTrees project—to plant 20 million new trees. And you can help.
What’s that? You live in Manhattan? Or the Mojave? No sweat: The Arbor Day Foundation will plant a tree for every dollar you pledge—which, if you do some cupcake-type math, is a lot less than it would cost you in time and money. So the goal is to raise $20 million for reforestation by January 1, 2020. Go #TeamTrees!